The pundits are unbelievable and the spin on the election results is dishonest and must be presumed to be a concerted effort to discourage conservatives from backing Romney. They can not report the truth about the results even when the truth is staring them in the face.

Based on the talking heads, one would think that the Super Tuesday results are shocking and that Romney, in response should drop out at CPAC on Thursday.

In fact there are NO shocks that hurt Romney and some that help him.

The following are very simple sentences because that may make it easier for media types to follow the results.

Truth: Romney did better than expected. Huckabee did better than expected. McCain lost ground.

Virtually every commentator on Fox is pushing the idea that things have shifted dramatically even though the truth is that other than both Romney and Huckabee each picking up 2 McCain states, things are, at worst, as predicted and at best show a trend away from McCain. McCain should be grateful Super Tuesday wasn't Super Thursday.

Let us take a look at what the polling people predicted before Tuesday and compare the predictions to the actual results. (All pre-Tuesday numbers were pulled from RealClearPolitics.com)

Before Tuesday, everyone in the media was predicting a sweep by McCain. He was supposed to walk away the clear party nominee.

After Tuesday McCain has clearly lost momentum. He received far fewer delegates than anyone predicted.

There were 21 states up for grabs. McCain was supposed to sweep.

McCain won 10. Romney won 8. Huckabee won 3.

Before Tuesday McCain was predicted to win 12 of 14 states that RCP had polls on, Romney was predicted to win 1 and Huckabee was predicted to win 0. CA was a statistical dead heat.

After Tuesday McCain won only 9 of the 14 states, Romney won 4 and Huckabee won 1.

Before Tuesday the polls had McCain winning Colorado.

After Tuesday Romney won Colorado.

Before Tuesday the polls had McCain winning Minnesota.

After Tuesday, Romney won Minnesota.

Before Tuesday McCain was going to win Tennessee.

After Tuesday Huckabee won Tennessee.

Before Tuesday McCain was going to win Alabama.

After Tuesday Huckabee won Alabama.

Before Tuesday, McCain was going to win Georgia.

After Tuesday, Huckabee won Georgia.

When looking at the trends:

Romney gained more ground in 6 states than the other candidates gained. In two of those states the change was enough to shift the win to Romney from McCain.

Huckabee gained the most ground in 3 states and he won all three states, which had been predicted McCain wins.

McCain gained more ground than the other candidates in 4 states but his shifts had no impact on the outcome of those races. He lost 4 states that he had been projected to win.

There were 7 states with no pre-Super Tuesday polling listed at RCP. Romney won 4 of those states. (Alaska, Montana, North Dakota and Utah) Huckabee won 2 of these states (Arkansas and West Virginia- see note below) McCain won 1 of these states. (Delaware)

Let us take special note of West Virginia: Romney won the first ballot but didn't have quite enough votes to take the state. Before the second ballot, the McCain campaign instructed their voters to all vote for Huckabee to stop Romney from taking the state. Clearly, McCain views Romney as his greatest threat. If McCain viewed Huckabee as the threat, he would have thrown his support to Romney. Huckabee can pretend it is a win but the truth is the analysis of the meaning of the win is pointless. It was a gift, not a win.

In summary, assuming that we assign 1, 2 and 3 to a first, second and third place finish respectively, prior to Super Tuesday, RCP average(rounded up or down) numbers predicted were McCain 1.15, Romney at 2.38 and Huckabee at 2.85.

Actual results for the average place finished by each candidate: McCain 1.65 (a drop of -.5) Romney 1.85 (am improvement of +.52) and Huckabee 2.50 (an improvement of .35). Romney did better statistically than Huckabee who also gained some ground, and dramatically better than McCain, who lost ground.

The only real question left is California. This is not a winner take all state so the delegates will split but the numbers may not be known for awhile. No matter how things shake up for Romney and McCain- Huckabee is eating their dust.

CONCLUSION: The media, including those at Fox, are working hard to undermine the Romney and push McCain and Huckabee. The talk encouraging Romney to drop out and Huckabee to stay in is demonstrative of this bias. Huckabee is THIRD. There is no "Fair and Balanced" in the reporting of the numbers.

Conservatives need to do some serious analysis of the upcoming states. Honest analysis should point to the following truth:

• McCain has nowhere to go but down in the numbers because he has total name recognition throughout the country.
• McCain will try to convince conservatives at CPAC that he can and should be trusted with the nomination. If he were to win early, there is no way he would shift to the right- he won't need to.
• An intense campaign will be harder on McCain as he attempts to juggle his duties as a sitting Senator with campaigning. (Perhaps he should step down...)
• McCain has a temper and every time he either loses it or uses the pejorative "my friend" voters will take note.
• Romney has nowhere to go but up as voters around the country get to know him in the remaining primary and caucus nights.
• Huckabee's popularity will likely wane outside the Bible Belt.
• Huckabee is not as conservative as he would like voters to believe he is- this too will become clear as the candidates fight it out.

If all three men stay in to the end, a brokered convention is clearly possible. In the event of this possibility, which candidate has the best chance to win? Which delegates would be most likely to switch after which ballot?

McCain would be in the toughest spot because he will have the most difficult time convincing conservatives he really will become a loyal conservative (please remember "Absolute power corrupts absolutely...) once voters have no ability to influence his positions.

McCain could start out with the most delegates and then lose them in the subsequent ballots.

Romney should stay in the race. While the media would have voters believe that Romney is the only contributor to his campaign, he has raised a TON of money and he will continue to see the donations pour in if conservatives think he really is in it to win it. An agressive push in the upcoming primaries (using more ads like the Clinton hasn't run a corner store ad) will help him maintain his momentum.

He needs to deliver a great speech to get the CPAC attendees wound up to help him fight this fight. (I will be there and can't wait to hear it.)

Finally, the pundits should step back and remember what their job actually is: report the news. The continual efforts of reporters to create a result does a disservice to the candidates and to the country.